Political analyst Rosendo Fraga stated that governors have consolidated as the 'key to governability' in Javier Milei's administration, emphasizing that 'the reference for who the government negotiates with is not Peronism, but the provincial governors'. This new reality marks the first half of the presidential term, where, despite holding a historical minority in Congress, the government managed to 'govern with such an unfavorable power balance', an initial question that, according to Fraga, has already been 'resolved'. Furthermore, the expert highlighted the advantage that a 'divided, disarticulated opposition' and a declining traditional Peronism give to the ruling party. In an interview with Radio Rivadavia, Fraga explained that this new axis is due to a 'provincial geopolitics' that 'has changed and will change more', as the provinces have become aware of their power, which lies in two factors: land ownership granted by the 1994 Constitution and their greater political weight in the Senate, where 'power is equalized'. He added: 'This dynamic displaces the center of power that was previously in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area (AMBA), the territory that dominated national politics'. The analyst observed that the fragmented Peronism without a clear leadership represents a scenario to be considered, although he insisted: 'The reference for who the government negotiates with is not Peronism, but the governors'. In the legislative sphere, the expert projected that 'Congress will approve the budget, which will be Milei's first year with a budget approved by Congress'. Regarding the economy, Fraga maintained that the fundamental problem remains the chronic shortage of dollars, a recurring drama. He stressed that 'the non-accumulation of reserves is the Achilles' heel' for long-term stability. Finally, the political analyst highlighted the government's success in containing social protest, noting that 'people have stopped protesting in the streets', which represents 'an important success' in conflict management.
